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Sunday, May 19 2013
Britain's Zigzag Economy
WHEN Sir Mervyn King spoke of the ‘zigzag' pattern we could expect in 2012, he wasn't wrong. Official data - and private surveys - have been all over the place lately. But the underlying message has not changed: The recovery is still fragile, and ...
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Oil falls below $102 amid signs of weak US economy

AP

LONDON OIL prices fell below $102 a barrel on Tuesday as weak US jobs figures and expectations of growing crude oil stockpiles raised the prospect that US demand will remain tepid.

By early afternoon in Europe, benchmark oil for May delivery was down 68 cents to $101.78 a barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. The contract fell 85 cents to settle at $102.46 in New York on Monday.

In London, Brent crude for May delivery was down $1.31 at $121.36 a barrel on the ICE Futures exchange.

Market sentiment suffered after data showed the US economy added just 120,000 jobs last month, half as much as each of the previous three months and fewer than analysts expected. The figure was particularly disappointing because investors had pushed crude prices up from $75 in October to $110 last month partly on hopes that an improving US economy would boost oil demand.

“The US economy isn’t growing as fast as we thought it was,” said Carl Larry of Oil Outlooks and Opinions.

“We’re going to have to keep an eye on the rest of the world’s economy this week.” China, the world’s secondlargest crude consumer, is scheduled to announce first quarter economic growth on Friday.

Analysts at Commerzbank in Frankfurt noted that while China’s imports of crude oil in March were slightly lower on a monthly basis and were seen contributing to Tuesday’s weaker prices, they still were 8.7 percent higher than in March 2011.

“Among other things, robust demand from China would suggest that a fall below the $120 a barrel mark in the case of Brent and the $100 a barrel mark in the case of (the Nymex contract) is unlikely,” the analysts said in a note.

Investors will be monitoring fresh information on US stockpiles of crude and refined products.

Data for the week ending April 6 is expected to show a build of 1.8 million barrels in crude oil stocks and a draw of 1.25 million barrels in gasoline stocks, according to a survey of analysts by Platts, the energy information arm of McGraw-Hill Cos.

The American Petroleum Institute will release its report on oil stocks later Tuesday, while the report from the Energy Department’s Energy Information Administration — the market benchmark — will be out on Wednesday.


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